The swine flu in May 1.8 million patients hospitalized in the United States this year, filling in intensive care and the ability to cause "serious incident" during a shooting in the autumn, the scientific advisor to the White House.
The swine flu, also known as H1N1, can infect almost half the population and kill 30,000 to 90,000 people, double the number of deaths due to normal seasonal influenza, for scenario planning, which was published yesterday by the Prime Advisory Council for Science and Technology. Intensive care units of hospitals, some of which use 80 percent of the surface during normal operation of all that we read for cases of influenza, the report said.
The virus has multiplied by more than 1 million people in the United States, patients and infections in May of this month as students return to school, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Patients who are full of swine influenza read too many hospitals may be forced to elective surgery such as heart bypass surgery or hernia late, said James Bentley American Hospital Association.
"If there are more than 1.8 million hospital admissions in six months, very different world if you have it in six weeks," said Bentley, vice president of the 'association based in Washington, which represents 5000 hospitals.
President Barack Obama was invited by the Scientific Advisory Board to accelerate the production of vaccines, as the best way to alleviate the burden on the healthcare system. The initial doses should be accelerated in mid September for submitting plans of at least 40 million people, the Commission said in a report released yesterday. The participants also suggested that Obama is a member of the senior White House staff, preferably the name, national security adviser, to assume the responsibility for making decisions regarding the pandemic.
Endanger
"This is not the flu we are accustomed to," said Kathleen Sebelius, Health and Human Services United, States of America. "The H1N1 virus in 2009 will result in a greater threat in the fall. We do not know until we are in the midst of flu season, the seriousness of the threat, but because a new strain is likely to infect people more normal.
Evaluate data from clinical studies of safety and efficacy of the vaccine against swine influenza have become available in mid-September, said the health authorities on 21 August. The full results of the tests on both the dose is only available in mid-October.
"We have all measures in preparation for the adoption of a safe and effective vaccine is mid-October," said Sebelius at the office of the CDC in Atlanta.
Global spread
H1N1 has been found more than 170 countries and territories over the passed four months since my arrival at the headquarters in Geneva, says the World Health Organization. Swine influenza-like symptoms and causes of seasonal varieties. It is much worse than normal seasonal influenza, with increased hospitalizations and serious illness, he said in a statement on August 12 gave rise
New Zealand and Australia through its normal seasonal influenza, according to the ability of intensive care required by patients swine influenza. Experience says that the United States, Europe and Japan in May on the back of H1N1.
Chairperson of the Board, as a "plausible scenario" that 30 to 50 percent of the U.S. population will be infected in autumn and winter. About 300,000 patients in hospitals to be treated in intensive care cover 50 percent to 100 percent of beds from 30,000 to 90,000 people die in May, the group said.
"This is a scenario planning is not a forecast, the report said." But the scenario shows that an outbreak of H1N1 in serious deterioration of health and social services in our country in the coming months could bring up. "
Hospital Crisis
Said Peter Gross, chief medical officer of Hackensack University Medical Center in New Jersey, where the group performs on stage: "I think all hospitals in the United States is in a critical situation. We find it difficult to cope with these predictions has said.
The estimates seem "exaggerated," said Gross, because outbreaks of swine fever in 1968 and 1957 did not cause many victims, including medical technology and disease surveillance, much less advanced than those of Hui aujourd.
"Influenza is possible to predict all you want, but it is more difficult to predict the weather," said Gross, was published yesterday in a telephone interview after the report of consultation. "If the flu does not touch me.
The 775-bed hospital is an epidemic of planning, so that the order of the influence of drugs and discussed, in which clients seek the worst, "said Gross.
Advisers to President
The Chairperson of the Group of Advisers on Science and Technology, chaired by John Holdren, director of the White House Office of Science and Technology, Eric Lander, director of the Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and Harold Varmus, director of Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York.
The 21-strong group of scientists and engineers, created by Congress in 1976, advises the president on policy relative to scientific issues.
The seasonal flu usually has killed about 36,000 Americans, said Tom Skinner, spokesman for the U. S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The swine flu causes more severe disease requiring hospitalization between young people that the flu season, so that during these 65 years and over a relatively safe, said Mike Shaw from the CDC.
The average aged of people with HIV / AIDS pandemic was 12 to 17, who said that on 24 July, according to data from Canada, Chile, Japan, Britain and the United States Attacks health
"People infected with this strain has become good in our society," said Shaw, associate director of the Department of Laboratory Sciences at CDC's influence, in a presentation yesterday at the Agency.
The H1N1 strain is genetically related to the Spanish flu of 1918, which is about 50 million deaths in context. The changes in the Spanish flu spread until 1957, when other strains replaced them of influenza. Those whose immunity first contact with the influenza virus is one parent was the Spanish flu pandemic may be greater than it is now, "says Shaw.
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